It’s time for the biggest soccer tournament in the world: The FIFA World Cup 2018. Kicking off this week in Russia, the tournament includes 32 nations divided into 8 groups of 4 teams.
The top 2 teams in each group advance to the knockout round of 16, while the other 2 teams are done.
Accuscore is, as usual, here with predictions. With our advanced simulation engine, it’s possible to make detailed projections on each individual game, leading to the knockout stage and eventually to the finalists and of course the winner.
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Accuscore’s analytics provide each team’s probabilities to win their group, advance to the round of 16 and the projected point average reached in the group stage. The knockout rounds can then be set based on those probabilities. Let’s start with the group stages.
Accuscore simulations have never been shy to contradict the public opinion or market odds – more often than not with excellent success. This time around, the FIFA World Cup Group Stage simulations offer no massive surprises, but a couple of smaller upsets might be in the air.
In Group A the Russians will be challenged by Egypt, especially if Mohamed Salah is able to perform at his best.
In Group C, Peru has shown some incredible poise in making it to the World Cup from the tough South American qualification and will be a thorn in the side of the Danes. The Argentinians, led by Leo Messi are likely to take Group D by storm, but the fight for the second spot is wide open between Croatia, Nigeria and Iceland.
Elsewhere, Mexico might be in a bit of a pickle with feisty Swedes and South Koreans, but are still likely to push through from Group F, which Germany of course is most likely to win.
Probably the only “major” upset in the simulations comes from Group E, where Serbia beats Switzerland. Costa Rica is not a pushover either and might cause some problems for the two qualification hopefuls – but of course not for the Brazilians, who are likely to dominate the group. Groups G and H look pretty much exactly as expected.