Turkey can nail down a playoff spot in Group A European Championship qualifying on Tuesday, October 13 with a win or draw at home against group-leading Iceland. Turkey controls their own destiny since they have a two-point lead on fourth-place Holland entering this match. Iceland also has something to play for since they lead second-place Czech Republic by just one point. The Czechs will be battling it out with Holland in the other group finale on Tuesday.
- bet365 currently lists Turkey as the favorites at 1/2 with Iceland 13/2 and a draw at 11/4
Turkey vs Iceland Head to Head:
- The first meeting between these two teams in Group A play saw Iceland romp to a 3-0 win at home after Turkey was reduced to 10 men in the 59th minute due to a red card. The two countries have met just eight times in the past and Turkey has recorded just one a win. Iceland have won five times and the other two contests ended in draws. In Turkey, the home side has a win, loss and draw in three outing. The lone triumph came back in October of 1994 when they pasted Iceland 5-0 in a qualifying game for Euro 96.
Iceland tops the group at the moment with 20 points from six wins, two draws and a loss. They’ve scored 17 goals and allowed just five against. The Czech Republic has 19 points and are followed by Turkey with 15. The Turks have four wins, three draws and two defeats with 13 goals for and nine against. They’re coming off of a 2-0 win in the Czech Republic on Saturday while Iceland blew a chance of clinching the group when they were held to a 2-2 draw by Latvia at home. Holland is in fourth place with 13 points while Latvia has five and Kazakhstan sits in the cellar with a pair of points.
If Iceland should happen to lose in Turkey and the Czech Republic wins in Amsterdam, Iceland will still win the group because of their better goal differential than the Czechs. Their head-to-head record against them is the same since both nations won 2-1 at home. Therefore the tie will be broken by goal difference. Also, if Turkey and Holland end up with the same amount of points Turkey will take third place because of their record against the Dutch. The best Turkey can do in this group is remain in third place and enter the Euro 2016 playoffs in November.
Turkey has a three-game undefeated streak going at home in Group A since the Czech Republic beat them 2-1 a year ago. Iceland has won three of their four Group A road games and didn’t allow a goal in those wins. Their only away loss in the qualifying stage was 2-1 in Prague against the Czech Republic last November.
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By Ian Palmer